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A variety of “progressive” health care analysts are still deluding themselves about the future of “universal” health care. Ezra Klein, as I wrote last week, is as clueless as ever on this point, and he is by no means alone.
Like all cases of self-delusion, those of Klein and his fellow “progressives” require that they ignore mountains of contrary evidence. They have refused, for example, to absorb the obvious lessons of the SCHIP debate and the demise of Oregon’s ”Healthy Kids” initiative.
They will no doubt continue this pattern of denial and ignore the death of Arnoldcare. As reported in the WSJ, California’s Democrat-controlled legislature finally did the humane thing for this writhing, moribund beast:
Arnold Schwarzenegger’s “universal” health-care plan died in the California legislature on Monday, in what can only be called a mercy killing.
Anyone not impervious to objective data will notice that the death of Arnoldcare, “Healthy Kids,” and SCHIP have one item in common. They occurred in legislative environments controlled by DEMOCRATS:
The California legislature is probably the most liberal this side of Vermont, and even Democrats refused to become shock troops for this latest liberal experiment.
Why? Because they can’t pay for it.
Like collapses in Illinois, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, this one crumpled because of the costs, which are always much higher than anticipated.
No matter how much BS is piled up by the advocates of universal health care, the goals of unlimited access and low cost are mutually exclusive. You can have one or the other, but you can’t have both:
You can’t make coverage “universal” while at the same time keeping costs in check — at least without prohibitive tax increases.
This is the rock on which Oregon’s plan wrecked, and why Nancy Pelosi and her accomplices had to promote a tobacco tax scheme that would have created the need for new smokers.
So, what does this mean for the fantasies of Klein and others of his persuasion? It means that, even if the voters are foolish enough to put Hillary in the White House this November, no radical overhaul of U.S. health care will ensue.